Trump-Biden 2024 Race and Potential Contenders
It is important to note that the list of contenders here is just about possibilities, and the situation could change depending on various factors, such as Biden's health, approval ratings, and political climate.
Recent polls show that the 2024 presidential race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is a close one, with Biden having a slight lead over Trump. However, the polls also reveal that a significant percentage of voters dislike both candidates. While Trump's voters are more excited than Biden's, Trump could lose a lot if convicted.
Within their parties, both candidates are relatively popular, with about three-quarters of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents being satisfied to some degree with Biden as their party's nominee, and three-quarters of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents saying the same of Trump.
Trump leads Biden by 7 points among the 29% of voters who view neither of them favorably, and a large chunk of this group (21%) said they either won’t vote or will vote for someone else in a Trump-Biden matchup. Overall, it is difficult to say whether Americans prefer Trump over Biden, as the polls show a close race and a significant percentage of voters who dislike both candidates.
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2024 Race: List of Potential Contenders
If Joe Biden were to exit the 2024 race, it is difficult to predict who would replace him, as there are many potential candidates and variables at play. Here are some possible contenders based on recent news articles and polls:
- Vice President Kamala Harris: Harris is the most likely Democrat not named Biden to wind up as the Democratic nominee in 2024, according to a CNN article. She is also the obvious heir apparent to Biden as an incumbent vice president more than two decades his junior, according to a Hill article.
- Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg: Buttigieg is considered the most naturally talented candidate in the 2024 field and has been front and center selling Biden’s infrastructure bill, according to the same CNN article.
- California Governor Gavin Newsom: Newsom could be offered a high-profile spot at the nominating convention to tee up his likely 2028 presidential bid, according to a Newsweek article.
- Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer: Whitmer is seen as a moderate who could unite both sides of the party and might be a close alternative to Biden, according to a Conversation article.
- Rhode Island Governor Gina Raimondo: Raimondo made the leap from Rhode Island governor to Biden administration commerce secretary but doubts remain as to whether she is too moderate to win a Democratic primary in this moment, according to the same Conversation article.
- Other potential candidates mentioned in various articles and polls include Senators Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and Cory Booker, New York Governor Kathy Hochul, and former Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams.
Biden approval ratings
It is important to note that these are just possibilities, and the situation could change depending on various factors, such as Biden's health, approval ratings, and political climate.
Donald Trump lost the presidential election of 2020 but remains politically active, raising donations from supporters, campaigning for various office seekers in advance of the 2022 midterm elections, and actively criticizing President Biden, the Democratic Party, and Republicans whom he determined were insufficiently loyal to him or the “Make America Great Again” (MAGA) agenda. Trump announced that he was running for the GOP nomination in the 2024 presidential election.
However, Trump is also facing an unprecedented slate of criminal charges that threatens his political future and, if convicted, could land him in prison. The Constitution sets very few eligibility requirements for presidents, and legally, Trump would remain eligible to be president even if he were imprisoned. Therefore, Trump could still run for president even if he is convicted, and he could potentially win the presidency and assume the Oval Office again.
If Trump is convicted before the 2024 election and wins the contest, he could try to grant himself a pardon, but whether he can do so is untested, and the Supreme Court may have to weigh in. Overall, the future of Donald Trump is uncertain, and it remains to be seen what will happen to him in the coming years.