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Is the US Ready For War Against China?

According to some web sources, there is a possibility of a war between the US and China in 2025 over the issue of Taiwan’s sovereignty123. Some US military officials have expressed their concerns and preparations for such a scenario13.

Geopolitics
Warships on patrol - photo by Asael Peña / Unsplash

In 2025, the world could witness a war between the United States and China over Taiwan's sovereignty. The possibility of such a conflict has been expressed by some US military officials, who are preparing for this scenario.

However, there are many factors that could prevent or delay a conflict, including the One-China policy, investment in conventional capabilities, and clear signaling by the US and its allies about the consequences of aggression against Taiwan.

Despite these factors, some argue that the US has a moral obligation to defend Taiwan's democracy and sovereignty, and that it has a strategic interest in preventing China from dominating the Indo-Pacific region.

With military officials like Gen. Mark Milley and Adm. John Aquilino expressing their concerns, the situation remains tense. However, the economic interdependence between the US and China, diplomatic engagement, and mutual deterrence of nuclear arsenals could also prevent such a war from happening.

The world watches with bated breath as the situation unfolds and the fate of Taiwan hangs in the balance.

More On the Potential US War VS China

According to some web sources, there is a possibility of a war between the US and China in 2025 over the issue of Taiwan’s sovereignty123. Some US military officials have expressed their concerns and preparations for such a scenario13.

However, this is not a certainty and there are many factors that could prevent or delay a conflict.

Some of the factors that could prevent or delay a war between the US and China are:

  1. The One-China policy, which is the official position of the US that it does not support Taiwan’s independence and recognizes Beijing as the sole legitimate government of China1.
  2. The investment in conventional capabilities by the US and its allies that are suited to the geography of the Western Pacific and resilient to China’s military concept of systems warfare, which could deter China from launching a military attack on Taiwan or other regional targets.
  3. The clear signaling by the US and its allies about the economic and political consequences of aggression against Taiwan, such as sanctions, diplomatic isolation, and international condemnation, which could raise the costs and risks for China.
  4. The decreasing of US domestic vulnerabilities to Chinese embargoes and cyber attacks, which could reduce China’s leverage and coercion over the US.
  5. The mutual deterrence between the US and China’s nuclear arsenals, which could prevent either side from escalating a conflict to a nuclear level.
  6. The economic interdependence between the US and China, which could create incentives for both sides to avoid a war that would disrupt trade, investment, and global stability.
  7. The diplomatic engagement between the US and China, which could create channels for communication, dialogue, and cooperation on areas of common interest, such as climate change, pandemic response, and non-proliferation.
USAF Thunderbirds Fly-by
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Not Everyone in Favour of War With Chin

Here are the US military officials who expressed their concerns and preparations for such a scenario of war vs China in 2025 are:

Gen. Mike Minihan, head of Air Mobility Command, who said in a memo to the officers he commands that his gut told him the US will fight China in 2025 and told them to get ready by firing a clip at a target and aiming for the head.

Adm. John Aquilino, commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, who said in a congressional hearing that China’s threat to Taiwan is "much closer to us than most think" and that the US needs to be prepared for any contingency.

Gen. Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who said in a speech that China is the "number one pacing threat" for the US and that the US needs to maintain a credible deterrence and defense posture in the Indo-Pacific region.

Some Points In Favour Of War

Some of the arguments in favour of such a war against China from politicians or military personnel are:

The argument that the US has a moral obligation to defend Taiwan’s democracy and sovereignty from China’s aggression and coercion, and that abandoning Taiwan would damage the US’s credibility and reputation as a global leader and defender of freedom.

The argument that the US has a strategic interest in preventing China from dominating the Indo-Pacific region and challenging the US-led international order, and that allowing China to take over Taiwan would punch a hole in the US and allied chain of defenses in the region and undermine the US’s security and economic interests.

The argument that the US has a military advantage over China in terms of its global reach, its alliance network, its technological innovation, and its combat experience, and that the US should use its superior capabilities to deter or defeat China before it becomes too powerful and confident to challenge the US.

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